8 Ağustos 2008 Cuma

What would an Iraqi withdrawal plan mean to the Presidential race?

Barack Obama has made a cornerstone of his campaign that he is the only candidate out there who opposed the Iraq War from the beginning and who will get U.S. troops out. It has been central to his popularity among the core of the Democratic Party, and was the wedge that got the foot in the door for a rookie senator from Illinois. And, it has been a critical defining difference between Obama and John McCain.

But now it appears a formal withdrawal agreement with the Iraqi government is close. It could be signed in the next month or so, and it would put real (though tentative) end dates for U.S. combat troops and advisory troops in the country.

If such an agreement is signed, how will it impact the campaign? Will Obama see a sudden drop in popularity, as his key issue becomes moot? Will John McCain see a bump in the polls with an end to the War now in sight? Or will Hillary Clinton use it at the Democratic Convention as an argument to overturn the original delegate totals because "facts have now changed"?

What do Mod-Bloggers think the impact of such an agreement would be?

2 yorum:

  1. I think the issues in the campaign have gone from a focus on Iraq to more focus on the economy and energy anyway, so I don't know that it will have a huge impact.

    I wonder if Obama is hoping this change won't happen;)

    If nothing else, it shows that polls and predictions and a lot of what is said in the summer before an election mean very little.

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  2. i think this works more in johnny mac's favor, because a)there's no more "we're going to be there for 100 years" and b) obama can't campaign against point a.

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